Abstract
Background: Diabetic macular edema (DME) is the leading cause of vision loss in working-age adults with diabetes mellitus. Optical coherence tomography (OCT) has emerged as an indispensable tool in DME assessment, providing high-resolution, non-invasive, cross-sectional imaging of retinal microstructure. However, the prognostic value of individual OCT biomarkers in determining visual outcomes remains incompletely characterized.
Aim: To conduct a systematic review of the evidence of OCT-derived biomarkers as predictors of best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) and other visual outcomes in patients with DME.
Methods: PubMed/MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane Library were systematically searched for cross-sectional and cohort studies published between January 2014 and December 2024. Studies reporting at least one quantitative OCT biomarker with concurrent best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) measurement in patients with DME were eligible. Due to substantial heterogeneity across studies, a narrative synthesis approach was adopted. Biomarkers evaluated included central macular thickness (CMT), disorganization of retinal layers (DRIL), ellipsoid zone (EZ) integrity, external limiting membrane (ELM) status, subretinal fluid (SRF), intraretinal fluid (IRF), hyperreflective foci (HRF), choroidal thickness, and vitreomacular traction
Findings: Ten studies (n = 1,589 eyes) were included. DRIL demonstrated the strongest association with BCVA loss (r = 0.68–0.79; OR 4.2, 95% CI 2.8–6.3). EZ disruption and FAZ area enlargement were also potent predictors (AUC 0.81 and 0.83, respectively). CMT showed a moderate correlation (r = 0.42–0.61). SRF showed weak correlation with visual outcomes. HRF density was associated with adverse treatment prognosis.
Conclusion: OCT biomarkers, particularly DRIL, EZ disruption, and FAZ area, show consistent structural associations with visual outcomes in DME across observational studies and may serve as candidate prognostic markers pending prospective longitudinal validation. Systematic incorporation of these biomarkers into clinical evaluation may support more individualized therapeutic decision-making and improve patient prognostication, though stronger longitudinal evidence is needed before they can be considered established predictors.
Keywords: Diabetic Macular Edema, Optical Coherence Tomography, OCT Biomarkers, Visual Acuity, DRIL, Ellipsoid Zone, Central Macular Thickness, Hyperreflective Foci, Systematic Review.